Thư ngỏ: 794 Các nhà kinh tế phản đối Trump
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Chúng tôi, những nhà kinh tế ký tên dưới đây, đại diện cho nhiều lĩnh vực chuyên môn và đoàn kết trong việc phản đối Donald Trump. Chúng tôi khuyến nghị cử tri chọn một ứng cử viên khác dựa trên các lý do sau:
1. Ông ta làm suy giảm lòng tin vào các tổ chức thu thập và phổ biến thông tin quan trọng về nền kinh tế, chẳng hạn như Cục Thống kê Lao động, bằng cách truyền bá thông tin sai lệch về tính liêm chính trong công việc của họ.
2. Ông ta đã đánh lừa cử tri ở các bang như Ohio và Michigan khi khẳng định rằng việc đàm phán lại NAFTA hoặc áp đặt thuế quan đối với Trung Quốc sẽ làm tăng đáng kể việc làm trong lĩnh vực sản xuất. Trên thực tế, tỷ trọng việc làm của ngành sản xuất đã giảm từ những năm 1970 và chủ yếu liên quan đến tự động hóa, không phải thương mại.
3. Ông tuyên bố ủng hộ các cựu công nhân sản xuất, nhưng không có kế hoạch hỗ trợ họ chuyển sang các vị trí trong lĩnh vực dịch vụ được trả lương cao. Thay vào đó, ông đã chuyển hướng cuộc thảo luận chính sách sang các lựa chọn bỏ qua cả thực tế của tiến bộ công nghệ và lợi ích của thương mại quốc tế.
4. Ông ta đã đánh lừa công chúng khi khẳng định rằng sản xuất của Hoa Kỳ đã giảm sút. Vị trí và thành phần sản phẩm của ngành sản xuất đã thay đổi, nhưng mức sản lượng đã tăng hơn gấp đôi ở Mỹ kể từ những năm 1980.
5. Ông đã gợi ý một cách sai lầm rằng thương mại có tổng bằng 0 và “sự cứng rắn” của các nhà đàm phán chủ yếu dẫn đến thâm hụt thương mại.
6. Ông đã đánh lừa công chúng bằng những tuyên bố sai lệch về các hiệp định thương mại làm xói mòn thu nhập và của cải quốc gia. Mặc dù lợi nhuận thu được không được phân bổ đồng đều - và bản thân đây là một cuộc thảo luận quan trọng - cả thu nhập trung bình và tài sản trung bình đều đã tăng đáng kể ở Hoa Kỳ kể từ những năm 1980.
7. Ông đã hạ thấp mức độ nghiêm túc của đối thoại quốc gia bằng cách đề xuất rằng việc loại bỏ Cơ quan Bảo vệ Môi trường hoặc Bộ Giáo dục sẽ làm giảm đáng kể thâm hụt tài chính. Một giải pháp đáng tin cậy sẽ yêu cầu tăng doanh thu thuế và / hoặc giảm chi tiêu cho An sinh Xã hội, Medicare, Medicaid hoặc Quốc phòng.
8. Ông tuyên bố sẽ loại bỏ thâm hụt tài chính, nhưng đã đề xuất một kế hoạch có thể làm giảm doanh thu thuế từ 2,6 đô la xuống 5,9 nghìn tỷ đô la trong thập kỷ tới theo Quỹ thuế phi đảng phái.
10. Ông tuyên bố rằng ông sẽ giảm thâm hụt thương mại, nhưng đã đề xuất giảm tiết kiệm công có khả năng làm tăng thâm hụt.
11. Ông sử dụng nhập cư như một con cá trích đỏ để đánh lừa cử tri về các vấn đề quan trọng về kinh tế, chẳng hạn như tình trạng trì trệ tiền lương của các hộ gia đình có trình độ học vấn thấp. Một số lực lượng chịu trách nhiệm về điều này, nhưng nhập cư dường như chỉ đóng một vai trò khiêm tốn. Tập trung đối thoại vào kênh này, thay vì các kênh thực chất hơn, chẳng hạn như tự động hóa, chuyển hướng cuộc tranh luận của công chúng sang các lựa chọn chính sách không hiệu quả.
12. Ông ta đã đánh lừa cử tri khi khẳng định rằng Hoa Kỳ là một trong những quốc gia bị đánh thuế nặng nề nhất. Mặc dù Hoa Kỳ có mức thuế doanh nghiệp cao nhất theo luật định, nhưng tỷ lệ hiệu quả trung bình thấp hơn nhiều và thuế đánh vào thu nhập và tiêu dùng tương đối thấp. Nhìn chung, Hoa Kỳ có một trong những tỷ lệ thu nhập từ thuế trên GDP thấp nhất trong OECD.
13. Những tuyên bố của ông cho thấy sự thiếu hiểu biết sâu sắc về kinh tế học và không có khả năng lắng nghe các chuyên gia đáng tin cậy. Ông lặp lại các số liệu thống kê kinh tế giả mạo và gây hiểu lầm, đồng thời đưa ra những ngụy biện về thuế VAT và tính cạnh tranh thương mại.
14. Ông đề cao tư duy ma thuật và lý thuyết âm mưu thay vì những đánh giá tỉnh táo về các lựa chọn chính sách kinh tế khả thi.
Donald Trump là một lựa chọn nguy hiểm, mang tính hủy diệt đối với đất nước. Ông ta thông tin sai về cử tri, làm suy giảm lòng tin vào các tổ chức công bằng các thuyết âm mưu, và thúc đẩy ảo tưởng cố ý về việc gắn bó với thực tế. Nếu được bầu, ông ta gây ra một mối nguy hiểm duy nhất đối với hoạt động của các thể chế dân chủ và kinh tế, cũng như sự thịnh vượng của đất nước. Vì những lý do này, chúng tôi đặc biệt khuyên bạn không nên bỏ phiếu cho Donald Trump.
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Jason Abaluck, Yale University
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Michael Bailey, Facebook
Jonathan B. Baker, American University
Malcolm Baker, Harvard Business School
Laurence Ball, Johns Hopkins University
Abhijit Banerjee, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
James Bang, St. Ambrose University
Karna Basu, City University of New York
Victoria Baranov, The University of Melbourne
Chris Barrett, Cornell University
William A. Barnett, University of Kansas
Jean-Noel Barrot, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Natalie Bau, University of Toronto
Christopher F. Baum, Boston College
Emily Beam, University of Vermont
John C. Beghin, Iowa State University
Jere Behrman University of Pennsylvania
Jess Benhabib, New York University
Lanier Benkard, Stanford University
Alan Benson, University of Minnesota
Anil Kumar Bera, University of Illinois
Ronald Berenbeim, New York University
Dirk Bergemann, Yale University
David Berger, Northwestern University
Peter Bergman, Columbia University
Daniel Bergstresser, Brandeis University
Steven Berry, Yale University
Daniel Beunza, London School of Economics
Saurabh Bhargava, Carnegie Mellon University
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Joydeep Bhattacharya, Iowa State University
Herman J. Bierens, Pennsylvania State University
Volodymyr Bilotkach, Newcastle University
Alberto Bisin, New York University
David Bjerk, Claremont McKenna College
Douglas H. Blair, Rutgers University
Emily Blanchard, Dartmouth College
Emily Blank, Howard University
Francine D. Blau, Cornell University
Steven Block, Tufts University
Nicholas Bloom, Stanford University
Andreas Blume, University of Arizona
Simon Board, University of California, Los Angeles
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Elizabeth Bogan, Princeton University
Aislinn Bohren, University of Pennsylvania
Michele Boldrin, Washington University, St. Louis
Patrick Bolton, Columbia University
Carl Bonham, University of Hawaii, Manoa
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Severin Borenstein, University of California, Berkeley
Luca Bossi, University of Pennsylvania
Tilman Borgers, University of Michigan
Svetlana Boyarchenko, University of Texas, Austin
Nicole M. Boyson, Northeastern University
Serguey Braguinsky, University of Maryland
William C. Brainard, Yale University
Timothy Bresnahan, Stanford University
Erin Todd Bronchetti, Swarthmore College
David Brownstone, University of California, Irvine
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Erik Brynjolfsson, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Sandro Brusco, Stony Brook University
Moshe Buchinsky, University of California, Los Angeles
Eric Budish, University of Chicago
Marshall Burke, Stanford University
Ariel Burstein, University of California, Los Angeles
Kristin F. Butcher, Wellesley College
Daniel D. Butler, Auburn University
Sebastien Buttet, City University of New York
Kristy Buzard, Syracuse University
Ricardo Caballero, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Marika Cabral, University of Texas at Austin
Michael Callen, University of California, San Diego
Filipe Campante, Harvard University
Donald E. Campbell, College of William & Mary
John Y. Campbell, Harvard University
Art Carden, Samford Universtiy
Christopher D. Carroll, Johns Hopkins University
Gabriel Carroll, Stanford University
Michael R. Carter, University of California, Davis
Leandro S. Carvalho, University of Southern California
Elizabeth Caucutt, University of Western Ontario
Frank Chaloupka, University of Illinois, Chicago
Sewin Chan, New York University
Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Stanford University
David A. Chapman, University of Virginia
Gary Charness, University of California, Santa Barbara
Kalyan Chatterjee, Pennsylvania State University
Larry Chavis, University of North Carolina
Howard Chernick, Hunter College
Victor Chernozhukov, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Menzie D. Chinn, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Harvard University
Bhagwan Chowdhry, University of California, Los Angeles
Lawrence Christiano, Northwestern University
Sean Chu, Facebook
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Tim Classen, Loyola University Chicago
Karen Clay, Carnegie Mellon University
Michael A. Clemens
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Paola Conconi, Université Libre de Bruxelles and London School of Economics
Hope Corman, Rider University
Chad D. Cotti, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh
Victor Couture, University of California, Berkeley
Donald Cox, Boston College
Ian Coxhead, University of Wisconsin
Eric W. Crawford, Michigan State University
Vincent Crawford, University of California, San Diego
Sean Crockett, City University of New York, Baruch College
Barbara Crockett, City University of New York, Baruch College
Ron Cronovich, Carthage College
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Scott Cunningham, Baylor University
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Jaksa Cvitanic, California Institute of Technology
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Dhaval M. Dave, Bentley University and National Bureau of Economic Research
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Thomas Davidoff, University of British Columbia
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Joyee Deb, Yale University
Partha Deb, Hunter College
Rajeev Dehejia, New York University
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Wouter Dessein, Columbia University
Ravi Dhar, Yale University
Marco Di Maggio, Harvard Business School
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Peter Diamond, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Eleanor Wiske Dillon, Arizona State University
Avinash K. Dixit, Princeton University
Rebecca Dizon-Ross, University of Chicago
Matthias Doepke, Northwestern University
Javier Donna, Ohio State University
Laura Doval, California Institute of Technology and Yale University
Esther Duflo, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Steven Durlauf, University of Wisconsin
Susan Dynarski, University of Michigan
Richard A. Easterlin, University of Southern California
William Easterly, New York University
Jonathan Eaton, Pennsylvania State University
Federico Echenique, California Institute of Technology
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Aaron S. Edlin, University of California, Berkeley
Lena Edlund, Columbia University
Sebastian Edwards, University of California, Los Angeles
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Sara Fisher Ellison, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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Can Erbil, Boston College
Isil Erel, Ohio State University
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Emmanuel Farhi, Harvard University
David H. Feldman, College of William & Mary
Daniel Fetter, Wellesley College
Raquel Fernandez, New York University
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David Figlio, Northwestern University
Stefanie Fischer, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo
Diana Fletschner
Jeffrey Flory, Claremont McKenna College
Frederick Floss, State University of New York at Buffalo
Dana Foarta, Stanford University
Eliza Forsythe, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Mark Fontana, University of Southern California
Meredith Fowlie, University of California, Berkeley
Jeffrey Frankel, Harvard University
Guillaume Frechette, New York University
Mira Frick, Yale University
Amanda Friedenberg, Arizona State University
Ezra Friedman, Northwestern University
Roman Frydman, New York University
Victor R. Fuchs, Stanford University
Thomas Fujiwara, Princeton University
Stuart A. Gabriel, University of California, Los Angeles
Ian Gale, Georgetown University
David W. Galenson, University of Chicago
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Michael Gallmeyer, University of Virginia
David Gamarnik, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Bernhard Ganglmair, University of Texas at Dallas
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Steve Gardner, Baylor University
Michelle Garfinkel, University of California, Irvine
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Peter Garrod, University of Hawaii, Manoa
Claudine Gartenberg, New York University
Robert Gazzale, University of Toronto
Laura K. Gee, Tufts University
François Geerolf, University of California, Los Angeles
Garance Genicot, Georgetown University
Matthew L. Gentry, London School of Economics
Christophre Georges, Hamilton College
George Georgiadis, Northwestern University
François Gerard, Columbia University
Dalia Ghanem, University of California, Davis
Tarek Ghani, Washington University, St. Louis
Andra Ghent, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Suman Ghosh, Florida Atlantic University
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Stefano Giglio, University of Chicago
Kenneth Gillingham, Yale University
Paola Giuliano, University of California, Los Angeles
Gopi Shah Goda, Stanford University
Chuan Goh, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee
Devra Golbe, Hunter College and the Graduate Center, City University of New York
Joe Golden, Collage.com
Matt Goldman, Microsoft Research
Ben Golub, Harvard University
Gita Gopinath, Harvard University
Daniel Gottlieb, Washington University, St Louis
Lawrence H. Goulder, Stanford University
Corbett Grainger, University of Wisconsin
Alan Grant, Baker University
Laura Grant, Claremont McKenna College
Jerry R. Green, Harvard University
Adam Eric Greenberg, University of California, Los Angeles
William Greene, New York University
Dan Greenwald, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Matthew Grennan, University of Pennsylvania
Therese Grijalva, Weber State University
Daniel P. Gross, Harvard University
Gene Grossman, Princeton University
Jean Grossman, Princeton University
Michael Grossman, City University of New York Graduate Center
Michael Grubb, Boston College
Jonathan Gruber, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Martin J. Gruber, New York University
Isabel Guerrero, Harvard University
Veronica Guerrieri, University of Chicago
Patrik Guggenberger, Pennsylvania State University
Aaron Gunn
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Aboozar Hadavand, Columbia University
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Isa Hafalir, Carnegie Mellon University
Kareem Haggag, Carnegie Mellon University
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Phil Haile, Yale University
Jens Hainmueller, Stanford University
Marina Halac, Columbia University
Bronwyn H. Hall, University of California, Berkeley
Rema Hanna, Harvard University
Daniel S. Hamermesh, University of Texas at Austin
Sarah Hamersma, Syracuse University
Jeffrey Hammer, Princeton University
Ben Handel, University of California, Berkeley
Benjamin Hansen, University of Oregon
Bruce Hansen, University of Wisconsin
Gordon Hanson, University of California, San Diego
Matthew Harding, University of California, Irvine
Oliver D. Hart, Harvard University
Tarek Alexander Hassan, University of Chicago
Johannes Haushofer, Princeton University
Andreas Hauskrecht, Indiana University
Robert Haveman, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Carolyn J. Heinrich, Vanderbilt University
Benjamin E. Hermalin, University of California, Berkeley
Brent Hickman, University of Chicago
Keisuke Hirano, Pennsylvania State University
Lesley Hirsch, City University of New York
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Kate Ho, Columbia University
Peter Ho, University of Denver
Yael Hochberg, Rice University
John Hoddinott, Cornell University
Saul D. Hoffman, University of Delaware
Stephen Holland, University of North Carolina, Greensboro
Thomas J. Holmes, University of Minnesota
Adam Honig, Amherst College
Jeremy Horpedahl, University of Central Arkansas
Roozbeh Hosseini, University of Georgia
Sabrina Howell, New York University
Peter Howitt, Brown University
Hilary Hoynes, University of California, Berkeley
Yasheng Huang, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Isaiah Hull, Sveriges Riksbank
Jennifer Hunt, Rutgers University
Barry W. Ickes, Pennsylvania State University
Ryota Iijima, Yale University
Alex Imas, Carnegie Mellon University
Scott Imberman, Michigan State University
Nicolas Inostroza, Northwestern University
Oleg Itskhoki, Princeton University
Billy Jack, Georgetown University
Kelsey Jack, Tufts University
Sarah Jacobson, Williams College
Tor Jacobson, Sveriges Riksbank
Sanford M. Jacoby, University of California, Los Angeles
David A. Jaeger, City University of New York, Graduate Center
Pamela Jakiela, University of Maryland
Paul Jakus, Utah State University
Seema Jayachandran, Northwestern University
Gerald Jaynes, Yale University
Geoffrey Jehle, Vassar College
Elizabeth J. Jensen, Hamilton College
Paul Johnson, Vassar College
Barbara A.P. Jones, Alabama A&M University
Damon Jones, University of Chicago
Derek C. Jones, Hamilton College
Joseph P. Joyce, Wellesley College
Ted Joyce, Baruch College and Graduate Center
Sung Jae Jun, Pennsylvania State University
John H. Kagel, Ohio State University
Lisa B. Kahn, Yale University
Yuichiro Kamada, University of California, Berkeley
Ethan Kaplan, University of Maryland, College Park
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Edi Karni, Johns Hopkins University
Navin Kartik, Columbia University
Jakub Kastl, Princeton University
Barbara G. Katz, New York University
Timothy J. Kehoe, University of Minnesota
Todd Keister, Rutgers University
Inas Kelly, Queens College, City University of New York
John Kennan, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Haider A. Khan, University of Denver
Hyuncheol Bryant Kim, Cornell University
Kyoo il Kim, Michigan State University
Marieke Kleemans, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Michael Klein, Tufts University
Kenneth Kletzer, University of California, Santa Cruz
Christopher R. Knittel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Melissa Knox, University of Washington
Yilmaz Kocer, University of Southern California
Thomas Kochan, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Michal Kolesár, Princeton University
Charles Kolstad, Stanford University
Gerald F. Kominski, University of California, Los Angeles
Hideo Konishi, Boston College
Andrew Kosenko, Columbia University
Matthew Kotchen, Yale University
Matthew Kovach, ITAM
Dan Kovenock, Chapman University
Rachel Kranton, Duke University
Marvin Kraus, Boston College
Kate Krause, University of New Mexico
Kathie Krumm, Stanford University
Adriana Kugler, Georgetown University
Michael Kuhn, University of Oregon
Mark Kuperberg, Swarthmore College
Mordecai Kurz, Stanford University
Sajal Lahiri, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale
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David Laitin, Stanford University
Farrokh Langdana, Rutgers University
Fabian Lange, McGill University
Ashley Langer, University of Arizona
Joe Langsam, University of Maryland and Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Vincent Leah-Martin, University of California, San Diego
Dan Leeds
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William H. Lehr, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Margaret Leighton, University of St Andrews
Mark A. Lemley, Stanford University
Sergio H. Lence, Iowa State University
Jonathan Leonard, University of California, Berkeley
Jacob Leshno, Columbia University
Dan Levin, Ohio State University
David Levine, University of California, Berkeley
David K. Levine, Washington University, St. Louis
Arik Levinson, Georgetown University
Steve Levkoff, University of California, San Diego
Arthur Lewbel, Boston College
Greg Lewis, Microsoft Research
Danielle Li, Harvard University
Jin Li, Northwestern University
Shengwu Li, Harvard University
Annie Liang, University of Pennsylvania
Marc Lieberman, New York University
Ethan Ligon, University of California, Berkeley
David L. Lindauer, Wellesley College
Benjamin Linkow, University of Chicago
Dennis B. Liotta, New York University
Elliot Lipnowski, University of Chicago
Zachary Liscow, Yale University
Adriana Lleras-Muney, University of California, Los Angeles
Benjamin Lockwood, University of Pennsylvania
George Loewenstein, Carnegie Mellon University
Trevon D. Logan, Ohio State University
Bridget Terry Long, Harvard University
Kristian Lopez Vargas, University of California, Santa Cruz
Guido Lorenzoni, Northwestern University
Michael F. Lovenheim, Cornell University
Corinne Low, University of Pennsylvania
Jay Lu, University of California, Los Angeles
Rodney D. Ludema, Georgetown University
Sydney C. Ludvigson, New York University
Louis Maccini, Johns Hopkins University
Mario Macis, Johns Hopkins University
Catherine Maclean, Temple University
Ellen Magenheim, Swarthmore College
Matteo Maggiori, Harvard University
Michael D. Makowsky, Clemson University
Sara Elana Adler Mandelbaum, Lindenwood University
Mihai Manea, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Elena Manresa, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Sara Markowitz, Emory University
Eric Maskin, Harvard University
Nicole M. Mason, Michigan State University
Niko Matouschek, Northwestern University
Jordan Matsudaira, Cornell University
Eric Mayefsky
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Deirdre Nansen McCloskey, University of Illinois at Chicago
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Marc Melitz, Harvard University
Konrad Menzel, New York University
Robert C. Merton, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Andrew Metrick, Yale University
Jacob Meyer, California State University, Long Beach
Atif Mian, Princeton University
Edward Miguel, University of California, Berkeley
Ronald Miller, Columbia University
Alan Miller, University of Haifa
Lawrence Mishel, Economic Policy Institute
Kurt Mitman, Stockholm University
Naci Mocan, Louisiana State University
Rakesh Mohan, Yale University
Manoj Mohanan, Duke University
Benjamin Moll, Princeton University
Juan Carlos Montoy, University of California, San Francisco
Dilip Mookherjee, Boston University
Jonathan Morduch, New York University
Alan Moreira, Yale University
Edward R. Morey, University of Colorado
Barbara Morgan, Johns Hopkins University
John Morgan, University of California, Berkeley
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